Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 53, Issue 2 , Pages 207-216, February 2000

Publication bias in meta-analysis:

its causes and consequences

  • Alison Thornton

      Affiliations

    • P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, 17 Cedar Road, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, United Kingdom
  • ,
  • Peter Lee

      Affiliations

    • P.N. Lee Statistics and Computing Ltd, 17 Cedar Road, Sutton, Surrey, SM2 5DA, United Kingdom
    • Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author. Tel.: +44 181 642 8265; fax: +44 181 642 2135

Received 16 March 1998; received in revised form 21 June 1999; accepted 26 July 1999.

Abstract 

Publication bias is a widespread problem that may seriously distort attempts to estimate the effect under investigation. The literature is reviewed to determine features of the design and execution of both single studies and meta-analyses leading to publication bias, and the role the author, journal editor, and reviewer play in selecting studies for publication. Methods of detecting, correcting for, and preventing publication bias are reviewed. The design of the meta-analysis itself, and the studies included in it, are shown to be important among a number of sources of publication bias. Various factors influence an author's decision to submit results for publication. Journal editors and reviewers are crucial in deciding which studies to publish. Various methods proposed for detecting and correcting for publication bias, though useful, all have limitations. However, prevention of publication bias by registering every trial undertaken or publishing all studies is an ideal that is hard to achieve.

Keywords: Publication bias

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PII: S0895-4356(99)00161-4

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 53, Issue 2 , Pages 207-216, February 2000