Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 52, Issue 12 , Pages 1157-1163 , December 1999

Validation of a Predictive Model for Asthma Admission in Children: How Accurate Is it for Predicting Admissions?

  • Tien Chey

      Affiliations

    • Epidemiology Unit, Southwestern Sydney Area Health Service, Sydney, Australia
    • Corresponding Author InformationAddress correspondence to: Tien Chey, Epidemiology Unit, Hugh Jardine Building, Liverpool Hospital, Elizabeth Street, Liverpool NSW 2170, Australia.
    • ,
  • Bin Jalaludin

      Affiliations

    • Western Sector Public Health Unit, Western Sydney Area Health Service, Sydney, Australia
    • ,
  • Ralph Hanson

      Affiliations

    • The New Children's Hospital, Sydney, Australia
    • ,
  • Stephen Leeder

      Affiliations

    • Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney, Australia

,Accepted 7 May 1999.

References 

  1. Crain EF, Weiss KB, Fagan MJ. Pediatric asthma care in US emergency departments. Current practices in the context of the National Institute of Health guidelines. Arch Pediat Adolesc Med. 1995;149(8):893–901
  2. Jalaludin B, Chey T, Holmwood M, Chipps J, Hanson R, Corbett S, et al. Are admission rates a useful indicator of the prevalence of severe asthma in children in the community?. Aust N Z J Public Health. 1998;22(2):214–219
  3. Kun H, Oates RK, Mellis CM. Hospital admissions and attendances for asthma (a true increase?). Med J Aust. 1993;159:312–313
  4. Strachan DP, Anderson HR. Trends in hospital admission rates for asthma in children. Br Med J. 1992;304(6830):819–820
  5. Mitchell EA. International trends in hospital admission rates for asthma. Arch Dis Child. 1985;60:376–378
  6. Wright RO, Santucci KA, Jay GD, Steele DW. Evaluation of pre- and post-treatment pulse oximetry in acute childhood asthma. Acad Emerg Med. 1997;4(2):114–117
  7. Bishop J, Nolan T. Pulse oximetry in acute asthma. Arch Dis Child. 1991;66(6):724–725[see comments]
  8. Geelhoed GC, Landau LI, Le Souef PN. Evaluation of SaO2 as a predictor of outcome in 280 children presenting with acute asthma. Ann Emerg Med. 1994;23(6):1236–1241
  9. Mayefsky JH, El-Shinaway Y. The usefulness of pulse oximetry in evaluating acutely ill asthmatics. Pediatr Emerg Care. 1992;8(5):262–264
  10. Martin TG, Elenbaas RM, Pingleton SH. Failure of peak expiratory flow rate to predict hospital admission in acute asthma. Ann Emerg Med. 1982;11(9):466–470
  11. Wright RO, Steele DW, Santucci KA. Continuous, noninvasive measurement of pulsus paradoxus in patients with acute asthma. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 1996;150(9):914–918
  12. Kerem E, Tibshirani R, Canny G, Bentur L, Reisman J, Schuh S, et al. Predicting the need for hospitalization in children with acute asthma. Chest. 1990;98(6):1355–1361
  13. Skoner DP, Fisher JJ, Gormley C, Martinez R, Bobbitt RC, Holroyde J. Pediatric predictive index for hospitalization in acute asthma. Ann Emerg Med. 1987;16(1):25–31
  14. Ownby DR, Abarzua J, Anderson JA. Attempting to predict hospital admission in acute asthma. Am J Dis Child. 1984;138:1062–1066
  15. Bishop J, Carlin J, Nolan T. Evaluation of the properties and reliability of a clinical severity scale for acute asthma in children. J Clin Epidemiol. 1992;45(1):71–76
  16. Ducharme FM, Kramer MS. Relapse following emergency treatment for acute asthma (Can it be predicted or prevented?). J Clin Epidemiol. 1993;46(12):1395–1402
  17. van der Windt DA, Nagelkerke AF, Bouter LM, Dankert-Roelse JE, Veerman AJ. Clinical scores for acute asthma in pre-school children. A review of the literature. J Clin Epidemiol. 1994;47(6):635–646
  18. Efron B. How biased is the apparent error rate of a prediction rule?. J Am Stat Assoc. 1986;81:461–470
  19. Henry RL, Robertson CF, Asher I, Cooper DM, Cooper P, Dawson KP, et al. Consensus view. Management of acute asthma. J Pediat Child Health. 1993;29:101–103
  20. Asthma Management Handbook Melbourne: National Asthma Campaign Ltd.; 1993.
  21. Hilton S, Katz J, Zeger S. Classifying visual field data. Stat Med. 1996;15:1349–1364
  22. Henley JA, McNeil BJ. The meaning and use of the area under a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology. 1982;143:29–36
  23. Zweig MH, Campbell G. Receiver-Operating Characteristic (ROC) plots (A fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine). Clin Chem. 1993;39(4):561–577
  24. To T, Dick P, Feldman W, Hermandez R. A cohort study on children asthma admissions and readmissions. Pediatrics. 1996;98(2 Pt. 1):1991–1995
  25. Gouin S, Macarthur C, Parkin PC, Schuh S. Effect of a pediatric observation unit on the rate of hospitalisation for asthma. Ann Emerg Med. 1997;9(2):218–222
  26. Connett GJ, Warde C, Wooler E, Lenney W. Audit strategies to reduce hospital admissions for acute asthma. Arch Dis Child. 1993;69(2):202–205
  27. South M. Reduction in length of hospital stay for acute children asthma associated with the introduction of casemix funding. Med J Aust. 1997;167(1):11–13

PII: S0895-4356(99)00111-0

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 52, Issue 12 , Pages 1157-1163 , December 1999

Article Tools

* Image Usage & Resolution