A Comparison of C/B Ratios from Studies Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis☆
Abstract
In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the optimal cutoff value for a diagnostic test can be found on the ROC curve where the slope of the curve is equal to (C/B) × (1–p[D])/p[D], where p[D] is the disease prevalence and C/B is the ratio of net costs of treating nondiseased individuals to net benefits of treating diseased individuals. We conducted a structured review of the medical literature to examine C/B ratios found in ROC curve analysis. Only two studies were found in which a C/B ratio was explicitly calculated; in another 11 studies, a C/B ratio was based on a so-called holistic estimate, an all-encompassing educated estimate of the relative costs and benefits relevant to the clinical situation. The C/B ratios ranged from 0.0025 (tuberculosis screening) to 2.7 (teeth restoration for carious lesions). Clinical scenarios that are directly life threatening but curable had C/B ratios of less than 0.05. This analysis led us to construct a table of ordered C/B ratios that may be used by investigators to approximate C/B ratios for other clinical situations in order to establish cutpoints for new diagnostic tests.
Keywords: ROC curve, sensitivity and specificity, decision support techniques, routine diagnostic tests, laboratory diagnosis, cost-benefit analysis
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☆ This paper was presented, in part, at the 18th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, October 1996.
PII: S0895-4356(99)00075-X
© 1999 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
