Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 50, Issue 2 , Pages 211-216, February 1997

Deriving more up-todate estimates of long-term patient survival

  • Hermann Brenner

      Affiliations

    • Corresponding Author InformationAddress for correspondence: Hermann Brenner, Dept. of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, Albert-Einstein-Allee 43, D-89081 Ulm, Germany.
    • Department of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, D-89081 Ulm, Germany
  • ,
  • Olaf Gefeller

      Affiliations

    • Department of Medical Statistics, University of Göttingen, D-37073 Göttingen, Germany

Accepted 5 June 1996.

Abstract 

Statistics reflective of patient survival should be as up-to-date as possible. We illustrate that traditional methods for analysing survival have important limitations with regard to up-to-dateness of long-term cumulative survival estimates. We propose an alternative approach, denoted “period analysis,” that may be used to overcome or at least substantially reduce these limitations. The conceptual background and the computational realization of the new method are outlined and its application is illustrated by an analysis of long-term survival of patients with testicular cancer in Saarland, Germany.

Keywords:  Biometrics, disease registries, epidemiologic methods, prognosis, statistics, survival

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PII: S0895-4356(97)00280-1

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 50, Issue 2 , Pages 211-216, February 1997