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A selection strategy was developed for fracture reduction programs in frail older people

Jian Sheng ChenaCorresponding Author Informationemail address, Philip N. Sambrooka, Judy M. Simpsonb, Lyn M. Marcha, Robert G. Cummingc, Markus J. Seibeld, Stephen R. Lorde, Ian D. Cameronf

Accepted 4 August 2009. published online 18 November 2009.
Corrected Proof

Abstract 

Objectives

The aims of this study were to develop and evaluate a simple index for assessing the risk of fractures after a fall and to propose a selection strategy for identifying elderly individuals at high risk of both falls and fall-related fractures.

Study Design and Setting

Two thousand five institutionalized older men and women were assessed for clinical risk factors and then followed up for falls and fall-related fractures for up to 2 years.

Results

Our fracture risk index is derived from seven previously identified significant independent risk factors: weight, lower leg length, balance, cognitive function, type of institution, fracture history, and falls in the past year. The fracture rate was 6.5 times greater in the one-sixth of the falls with the highest index (9.7/100 falls) than in the lowest sixth (1.5/100 falls). Our proposed approach (based on balance, risk of falls, and the fracture risk index) selected a group of older people with high risk of both falls and fall-related fracture. The fracture incidence rate was 144% higher, and the falls incidence rate was 31% higher in the selected residents than in the remainder.

Conclusion

The index could help rationalize fracture prevention programs for frail older people.

a Institute of Bone and Joint Research, Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, New South Wales 2065, Australia

b School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Edward Ford Building A27, University of Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia

c Centre for Education and Research on Ageing, Concord Hospital, Building 18, Concord, New South Wales 2139, Australia

d Anzac Research Institute, Concord Hospital, Concord, New South Wales 2139, Australia

e Prince of Wales Medical Research Institute, University of New South Wales, Barker Street, Randwick, New South Wales 2031, Australia

f Rehabilitation Studies Unit, University of Sydney, PO Box 6, Ryde, New South Wales 2112, Australia

Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author. Tel.: +61-2-99267328; fax: +61-2-99061859.

PII: S0895-4356(09)00271-6

doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2009.08.018

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