Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 55, Issue 6 , Pages 545-555, June 2002

Citation of randomized evidence in support of guidelines of therapeutic and preventive interventions

  • Ioannis A. Giannakakis

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
  • ,
  • Anna-Bettina Haidich

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
  • ,
  • Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
    • Department of Pediatrics, George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
  • ,
  • George N. Papanikolaou

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
  • ,
  • Maria S. Baltogianni

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
  • ,
  • John P.A. Ioannidis

      Affiliations

    • Clinical Trials and Evidence-Based Medicine Unit, Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina 45110, Greece
    • Department of Medicine, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA., USA
    • Corresponding Author InformationCorresponding author. Tel.: +30-651-097807; fax: +30-651-067881. E-mail address:(J.P.A. Ioannidis)

Abstract 

Guideline statements may be supported by evidence obtained from various study designs, but randomized trials are usually considered most important for making recommendations about therapeutic and preventive interventions. This study evaluated the extent to which randomized trials are cited in guidelines published in major journals. The references of 191guidelines of therapeutic and/or preventive interventions published in Annals of Internal Medicine, BMJ, JAMA, Lancet, NEJM and Pediatrics in 1979, 1984, 1989, 1994, and 1999, were analyzed. The percentage of guidelines not citing any randomized controlled trials (RCTs) decreased gradually from 95% in 1979 to 53% in 1999. Among 4,853 references of the guidelines, there were 393 RCTs (8.1% of total), 19 systematic reviews (0.4%), and 23 meta-analyses of RCTs (0.5%). Among 19 guidelines published in 1999 or 1994 with <2 RCTs cited, in eight cases additional pertinent RCTs were identified that had not been cited by the guideline. There is a clear increase in the use of randomized evidence by guidelines over time. However, several guidelines in major journals still cite few or no RCTs.

Keywords:  Practice guidelines, Randomized controlled trial, Evidence, Citation

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PII: S0895-4356(02)00395-5

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Volume 55, Issue 6 , Pages 545-555, June 2002